One effect this event will have on the election is that now Trump's supporters will be willing to crawl through razor wire and over acres of broken glass to vote for him.
Not sure whether the people who oppose him will be similarly galvanized. And the people who found him distasteful previously may find the intensity of their dislike has faded somewhat.
I’m not worried about Trump’s base. Voting for him *even harder* is not going to add more votes.
I’m uncertain of the extent, but I guess we will see if there are undecided voters whose sympathy for the attack moves them more toward him. I doubt it’ll be much, though. I think most people have made up their minds about Trump, regardless of what happens to him (God forbid something bad again).
I think Biden’s greatest problem is younger people of color not showing up.
Likelihood of voting for Republicans - even among the ones who didn't want Trump as their nominee - will reach very close to 100 percent.
What do you think the intensity of voting intention will be among Democrats for Joe Biden? Visceral hatred of Trump will only go so far; without inspiration from Biden, your fear about people not showing up is well founded.
Which of the two looks more Presidential to the uncommitted voters who haven't paid much attention to the election now?
“Likelihood of voting for Republicans - even among the ones who didn't want Trump as their nominee - will reach very close to 100 percent.”—Maybe, but Trump had very significant percentages of Republicans in the primaries vote for Nikki Haley or someone else, sometimes as high as 20% (higher?). Let’s say half or three quarters come home or don’t vote —at the margins that’s very significant, and I still think this election is more likely to be won at the margins.
I fully agree on the last point. For people who don’t pay attention, Biden’s old age will be more off putting than Trump’s lawlessness, precisely because they don’t realize the danger that Trump truly is.
What’s that old saying: Strong and wrong is better than weak and right.
All of the candidates who ran against Trump in the primary, most notably including Nikki Haley, gave speeches strongly endorsing him at the RNC. Add that to the aura enhancement from the assassination attempt, and there won't be very many rank-and-file Republicans refusing to vote for Trump.
You might be right. I guess we will have to see how much they don’t like Trump! Most will l come home, but if a small percentage don’t, it could make a difference.
This reads with too much hope and wish casting. I can feel it from behind the page. Uncomfortable.
One effect this event will have on the election is that now Trump's supporters will be willing to crawl through razor wire and over acres of broken glass to vote for him.
Not sure whether the people who oppose him will be similarly galvanized. And the people who found him distasteful previously may find the intensity of their dislike has faded somewhat.
I’m not worried about Trump’s base. Voting for him *even harder* is not going to add more votes.
I’m uncertain of the extent, but I guess we will see if there are undecided voters whose sympathy for the attack moves them more toward him. I doubt it’ll be much, though. I think most people have made up their minds about Trump, regardless of what happens to him (God forbid something bad again).
I think Biden’s greatest problem is younger people of color not showing up.
Likelihood of voting for Republicans - even among the ones who didn't want Trump as their nominee - will reach very close to 100 percent.
What do you think the intensity of voting intention will be among Democrats for Joe Biden? Visceral hatred of Trump will only go so far; without inspiration from Biden, your fear about people not showing up is well founded.
Which of the two looks more Presidential to the uncommitted voters who haven't paid much attention to the election now?
“Likelihood of voting for Republicans - even among the ones who didn't want Trump as their nominee - will reach very close to 100 percent.”—Maybe, but Trump had very significant percentages of Republicans in the primaries vote for Nikki Haley or someone else, sometimes as high as 20% (higher?). Let’s say half or three quarters come home or don’t vote —at the margins that’s very significant, and I still think this election is more likely to be won at the margins.
I fully agree on the last point. For people who don’t pay attention, Biden’s old age will be more off putting than Trump’s lawlessness, precisely because they don’t realize the danger that Trump truly is.
What’s that old saying: Strong and wrong is better than weak and right.
All of the candidates who ran against Trump in the primary, most notably including Nikki Haley, gave speeches strongly endorsing him at the RNC. Add that to the aura enhancement from the assassination attempt, and there won't be very many rank-and-file Republicans refusing to vote for Trump.
You might be right. I guess we will have to see how much they don’t like Trump! Most will l come home, but if a small percentage don’t, it could make a difference.