2 things that are true that Democrats don't seem to understand: The middle-class and working-class are mostly aligned on cultural issues. This includes pronouns, nuclear family formation, traditional gender roles, faith in a higher power and all characteristics that come with that (prioritizing fairness, truth, integrity, not wanting a handout but a hand up, wanting criminals with victims to be punished, an opportunity to work a steady job for a steady life and dignified wages) About immigration: If you worked your tail off and jumped through hoops and checked all the right boxes to move out of a proverbial violent "trailer park" to get away from those people and to do better and bought yourself a nice home in a nice neighborhood, how would you feel if the government came in and gave all the houses around you to the people who you ran from and for free? It's not hard to know why they feel this way.
The DNC thinks that the more immigrants the better because they assume that immigrants will vote for democrat. But most immigrants whom I have spoken with, and several hispanic recent citizens whom I know quite well, have a very different view. All of them are concerned with crime and the influx of dangerous gang members. None of them think that open borders is a good policy. They do not particularly feel solidarity with people from different countries in South America or elsewhere ( just like Americans dont feel any particular bond to Canadians). For example, my Columbian friends say that their nation is being destroyed by the influx of Venezualan refugees.
Here are some democrat issues in this election : save the world from climate change, protect the right to abortion at any point in pregnancy and make it affordable and accessible,celebrate not only transgender rights but transgenderism itself, push for extreme sex education in schools. None of these are issues that resonate with the hispanic voters I know. I think that if the republicans had smarter and better outreach they could win the majority of hispanic voters.
Great post, Michael. John Burn Murdoch wrote something related last on white bobos overshooting Hispanics, Blacks, Muslims, and Indians on cultural issues in the UK and US. Democrats and Labour should distance themselves from the cultural predilections of white bobos to slow down dealignment.
So far, in AZ, it appears Hispanics (or someone) is voting heavily R. Maricopa Co. ended registration last Sat with a stunning 176,000 R lead, and the first counts of early ballot returns in MC showed a 500 lead (small group) while statewide the lead was 3,000. Either way, this is unheard of for Rs to hold an early voting lead. The same is true in VA, where although trailing, Rs are not trailing by anywhere near the 2020 levels and are up to about 40% of the early vote, an increase of over 4% while Ds are down about 6%. I would bet a significant number of all these are Hispanics.
2 things that are true that Democrats don't seem to understand: The middle-class and working-class are mostly aligned on cultural issues. This includes pronouns, nuclear family formation, traditional gender roles, faith in a higher power and all characteristics that come with that (prioritizing fairness, truth, integrity, not wanting a handout but a hand up, wanting criminals with victims to be punished, an opportunity to work a steady job for a steady life and dignified wages) About immigration: If you worked your tail off and jumped through hoops and checked all the right boxes to move out of a proverbial violent "trailer park" to get away from those people and to do better and bought yourself a nice home in a nice neighborhood, how would you feel if the government came in and gave all the houses around you to the people who you ran from and for free? It's not hard to know why they feel this way.
The DNC thinks that the more immigrants the better because they assume that immigrants will vote for democrat. But most immigrants whom I have spoken with, and several hispanic recent citizens whom I know quite well, have a very different view. All of them are concerned with crime and the influx of dangerous gang members. None of them think that open borders is a good policy. They do not particularly feel solidarity with people from different countries in South America or elsewhere ( just like Americans dont feel any particular bond to Canadians). For example, my Columbian friends say that their nation is being destroyed by the influx of Venezualan refugees.
Here are some democrat issues in this election : save the world from climate change, protect the right to abortion at any point in pregnancy and make it affordable and accessible,celebrate not only transgender rights but transgenderism itself, push for extreme sex education in schools. None of these are issues that resonate with the hispanic voters I know. I think that if the republicans had smarter and better outreach they could win the majority of hispanic voters.
Great post, Michael. John Burn Murdoch wrote something related last on white bobos overshooting Hispanics, Blacks, Muslims, and Indians on cultural issues in the UK and US. Democrats and Labour should distance themselves from the cultural predilections of white bobos to slow down dealignment.
Hadn’t had the chance to read JBM’s piece yet, but that all sounds about right to me!
So far, in AZ, it appears Hispanics (or someone) is voting heavily R. Maricopa Co. ended registration last Sat with a stunning 176,000 R lead, and the first counts of early ballot returns in MC showed a 500 lead (small group) while statewide the lead was 3,000. Either way, this is unheard of for Rs to hold an early voting lead. The same is true in VA, where although trailing, Rs are not trailing by anywhere near the 2020 levels and are up to about 40% of the early vote, an increase of over 4% while Ds are down about 6%. I would bet a significant number of all these are Hispanics.