I can't believe my wife and I are alone with this, but here goes:
Voted for Democrats for 50 straight years. Voted Trump five days ago.
We are old time Democrats, which means we supported Democratic causes that included protecting blue collar workers. "Progressives" have taken over the Democratic Party, and have changed it from how it was in the past on so many important dimensions.
If Trump wins it will be, once again, because "progressives" are out of touch with the majority of people.
By this time next week, we will know. For me it was economic issues. Not me personally, I'm semi retired, my risky investments are going like gangbusters. It's all the younger people just like me, working the trades or for some big company, low wages, no pensions, horrendous working conditions.
Immigration and globalisation are economic issues for me. I can put up with any sort of crazy issue of the day from the left side of my party as long as they stopped illegal immigration and protected American jobs, we failed the American workers.
Despite my years working for the Democratic party canvassing and phone banking, I voted for the other party, I couldn't be a class traitor.
Someone raised you well. Your parents taught you empathy, with often seems in short supply on the Dem side, now days. It has been my general experience, Dems talk a good game, waste a lot of money, never improve things for those in the bottom half of earners.
After 25 years in CA, I always assumed it was something in the air, that, literally, allowed people to step over the homeless, on their way to a world class dinner, and not give the guy on the sidewalk, a thought.
Now much of the country, seems able, to do the same. That is not Progress.
Same here, as for the class traitor thing. Even though we worked our way up a bit, I am who I am. My heart belongs to the middle-class glass and working-class. I'll vote that way forever, no matter the party.
1) Story out today that a large portion of da Youts ("did you say 'Youts/'") LIE about who they will vote for. I can see no reason Republican youts would lie. But I can image a ton of woke reasons Democrat youts would lie. Look for those stats to be totally wrong, and for Trump to get more than expected.
2) The "gender gap" is NOT. It is a MARRIAGE gap. Married women are substantially more conservative and Republican.
3) I continue to say---five days til I'm proven right or wrong---this is NOT A CLOSE RACE. Gallup has the partisan split at R+3. If that's even close, Trump will easily surpass 320 EVs and carry states such as MN, VA and possibly ME, NM, and NH. But moreover, for more than TWO STRAIGHT YEARS I've followed voter registration. It has shifted a whopping EIGHT POINTS to Rs since Biden took office. That speaks to a massive problem on the D side.
4) Yes, it is a working-class movement, but more than that. Suburban Americans are feeling horribly threatened by crime, illegals, drugs, and inflation. Neither Harris nor ANY Democrats have any answers for these. Hell, Harris won't even answer a single substantive question. We know what Biden's answer was and Americans are rejecting it. So . . . who to the left of Trump has any workable answers? Newsome? Get real. Witmer? Same. All the Democrats with workable answers (RFK, Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, Jonathan Turley) are either becoming Republicans or are aligning with them.
5) I don't like giving ideas to the opposing camp, but this much is obvious: if the "mainstream" leaders of the Democrat Party (who I would ID as Schumer, Fetterman, maybe Shapiro, and I'm at a loss for who else) don't suppress and stifle viciously ANY "resist" response to Trump's inevitable election, the party will seriously fracture. The Prog wing has made it clear they aren't even adults with any answers, let alone serious ones. But so far, the adults have been completely unwilling or unable to suppress them. My warning is simple: either do it now, or by 2030 there will be no D party worth mentioning, cuz J.D. Vance will replace Trump for 8 years and reapportionment comes up in 2030 and THIS TIME, with a solid director of the Census Bureau, the red states will likely not only get the six new EVs due them, but will be reallocated (correctly) the 15-25 EV stolen from them in the last census.
If your are right , you have a new subscriber. Most of you predictions seem obvious, but I thought the same in 2022. Have a hard time buying Dem's edge, with college educated suburban voters. The results four years ago, were understandable. We had not yet experienced, the worst healthcare debacle in US history, the worst inflation in 40 years, 10 million unvetted migrants, 1 million dead or injured on European and Middle Eastern battlefields. The only school systems, in the entire US, where more than 1/2 of students can perform, at grade level, are under the control of the Department of Defense. I keep waiting for the locust and pestilence to arrive.
The market is hitting new highs , but we have become economically, so bifurcated , only 1/3 of the country has a 401K . For the non asset owning class, the last few years have been a Carter reboot, without the well meaning President. Biden had nothing but unhinged, contempt for Trump voters, before his latest garbage gaffe. The only thing Harris offers, is CA chaos, without the ocean vistas.
I should add this. News broke this morning that GA had 613,000 early voters who had not voted in 2020. These are almost certainly Trump voters/R voters, and the article made clear they were from Rural, heavy Trump -leaning counties. if they Wizards of Smart thought GA was "in play," this news has dashed that. I had GA as Trump +5, but it may actually be bigger than that. AND IF that indeed reflects new/or repeat 2016 Trump voters, I would move my prediction that started "lean Trump" to "solid Trump" now to "Just outside landslide range" Trump.
I can't believe my wife and I are alone with this, but here goes:
Voted for Democrats for 50 straight years. Voted Trump five days ago.
We are old time Democrats, which means we supported Democratic causes that included protecting blue collar workers. "Progressives" have taken over the Democratic Party, and have changed it from how it was in the past on so many important dimensions.
If Trump wins it will be, once again, because "progressives" are out of touch with the majority of people.
Please come back, beloved Democratic Party!
Anybody else thinking like we are?
By this time next week, we will know. For me it was economic issues. Not me personally, I'm semi retired, my risky investments are going like gangbusters. It's all the younger people just like me, working the trades or for some big company, low wages, no pensions, horrendous working conditions.
Immigration and globalisation are economic issues for me. I can put up with any sort of crazy issue of the day from the left side of my party as long as they stopped illegal immigration and protected American jobs, we failed the American workers.
Despite my years working for the Democratic party canvassing and phone banking, I voted for the other party, I couldn't be a class traitor.
Someone raised you well. Your parents taught you empathy, with often seems in short supply on the Dem side, now days. It has been my general experience, Dems talk a good game, waste a lot of money, never improve things for those in the bottom half of earners.
After 25 years in CA, I always assumed it was something in the air, that, literally, allowed people to step over the homeless, on their way to a world class dinner, and not give the guy on the sidewalk, a thought.
Now much of the country, seems able, to do the same. That is not Progress.
Same here, as for the class traitor thing. Even though we worked our way up a bit, I am who I am. My heart belongs to the middle-class glass and working-class. I'll vote that way forever, no matter the party.
1) Story out today that a large portion of da Youts ("did you say 'Youts/'") LIE about who they will vote for. I can see no reason Republican youts would lie. But I can image a ton of woke reasons Democrat youts would lie. Look for those stats to be totally wrong, and for Trump to get more than expected.
2) The "gender gap" is NOT. It is a MARRIAGE gap. Married women are substantially more conservative and Republican.
3) I continue to say---five days til I'm proven right or wrong---this is NOT A CLOSE RACE. Gallup has the partisan split at R+3. If that's even close, Trump will easily surpass 320 EVs and carry states such as MN, VA and possibly ME, NM, and NH. But moreover, for more than TWO STRAIGHT YEARS I've followed voter registration. It has shifted a whopping EIGHT POINTS to Rs since Biden took office. That speaks to a massive problem on the D side.
4) Yes, it is a working-class movement, but more than that. Suburban Americans are feeling horribly threatened by crime, illegals, drugs, and inflation. Neither Harris nor ANY Democrats have any answers for these. Hell, Harris won't even answer a single substantive question. We know what Biden's answer was and Americans are rejecting it. So . . . who to the left of Trump has any workable answers? Newsome? Get real. Witmer? Same. All the Democrats with workable answers (RFK, Jr., Tulsi Gabbard, Jonathan Turley) are either becoming Republicans or are aligning with them.
5) I don't like giving ideas to the opposing camp, but this much is obvious: if the "mainstream" leaders of the Democrat Party (who I would ID as Schumer, Fetterman, maybe Shapiro, and I'm at a loss for who else) don't suppress and stifle viciously ANY "resist" response to Trump's inevitable election, the party will seriously fracture. The Prog wing has made it clear they aren't even adults with any answers, let alone serious ones. But so far, the adults have been completely unwilling or unable to suppress them. My warning is simple: either do it now, or by 2030 there will be no D party worth mentioning, cuz J.D. Vance will replace Trump for 8 years and reapportionment comes up in 2030 and THIS TIME, with a solid director of the Census Bureau, the red states will likely not only get the six new EVs due them, but will be reallocated (correctly) the 15-25 EV stolen from them in the last census.
If your are right , you have a new subscriber. Most of you predictions seem obvious, but I thought the same in 2022. Have a hard time buying Dem's edge, with college educated suburban voters. The results four years ago, were understandable. We had not yet experienced, the worst healthcare debacle in US history, the worst inflation in 40 years, 10 million unvetted migrants, 1 million dead or injured on European and Middle Eastern battlefields. The only school systems, in the entire US, where more than 1/2 of students can perform, at grade level, are under the control of the Department of Defense. I keep waiting for the locust and pestilence to arrive.
The market is hitting new highs , but we have become economically, so bifurcated , only 1/3 of the country has a 401K . For the non asset owning class, the last few years have been a Carter reboot, without the well meaning President. Biden had nothing but unhinged, contempt for Trump voters, before his latest garbage gaffe. The only thing Harris offers, is CA chaos, without the ocean vistas.
I should add this. News broke this morning that GA had 613,000 early voters who had not voted in 2020. These are almost certainly Trump voters/R voters, and the article made clear they were from Rural, heavy Trump -leaning counties. if they Wizards of Smart thought GA was "in play," this news has dashed that. I had GA as Trump +5, but it may actually be bigger than that. AND IF that indeed reflects new/or repeat 2016 Trump voters, I would move my prediction that started "lean Trump" to "solid Trump" now to "Just outside landslide range" Trump.
This analysis should be required reading for the audience and talent of the View, MSNBC, the network newscasts, late night talk shows, etc, etc,
Wonderful analysis, well written, and a pleasure to read, especially the part that proclaimed it could go either way.