It would be a little disingenuous to ignore the "late counting" in ALL FOUR of those states. Isn't it amazing that late counting 100% of the time tends to favor Democrats? I have in 40 years of observing politics never one time seen "late counted ballots" install a Republican. On top of that, it would be misleading to ignore the Kari Lake race, where she was outspent massively. I live here and for two months it was non-stop Gallego ads, not just one an hour, but three to four an hour. The GOP RINOs absolutely refused to fund either her or Sam Brown, yet spend lots of money (I.e., burned up lots of money) in Maryland with Larry Hogan, who never had a chance. A well-directed GOP senate reelection committee combined with an end to vote counting on election night would see a GOP 67 seat senate in a few years. This cannot go on. Votes must ben counted in 1 day. Period. We cannot constantly be the laughing stock of the world, when entire countries such as France, India and Brazil count votes of millions more people in a single day. This is a threat to democracy every big as the ChiComs.
The RINOs did spend money on Sam Brown. Not sure how much compared to the sure loser of Hogan (and his loss was the good news). They did the same thing in 2022 where they dumped boatloads of money on Murkowski who wasn't even a Republican and ignored a number of winnable races.
Why do you mention Gabbard and Kennedy in the first paragraph without mentioning that both of them used to be democrats and a year ago, wanted to be democrats? Questioning the beneficience of big Pharma ( like RFK Jr does) USED to be a democrat friendly position. Democrats were sceptical of big corporations ! Questioning the wisdom of the military industrial complex and the forever wars, as Tulsi does, USED to be a democrat position. Democrats USED to hate the Cheneys! What happened?
You can blame almost all of this on Russiagate. If you recall, Crimea was annexed in 2014 and Barack Obama wrote a piece in the Atlantic explaining why the US would not get involved. Not a single brunch liberal with a Ukraine flag currently in their bio noticed or even cared.
If your analysis isn't any better than the one you did for Nevada, you are going to continue to lose. Of those 4 counties, two have about 5000 total population, one has about 2000 and one less than 1000. Nothing that happened there could have had any impact on the election unless it is a lot closer than it was.
I can tell you why I undervoted. Sam Brown took money from Mitch McConnell's PAC. Not even Trump's endorsement could overcome that. This makes four elections in a row where I refused to vote for the Senate candidate for that reason. I am not sure if there is anyone else but if they want my vote, they need some Turtle-be-gone.
Interesting observation. Much the same happened in PA in 2020, when Biden narrowly carried the state, but the GOP won two other statewide offices (and they were handily reelected earlier this month) and almost knocked off then-AG Josh Shapiro. There were lots of undervotes, a problem that both parties can experience, especially in presidential years, probably with low-propensity voters.
The "undervoters" for Trump are unlikely to show up in the 2026, particularly if the economy is not in good shape. Another factor that deserves more analysis are the crunchy Kennedy-Gabbard voters. How big is this sliver of voters? Gabbard has some anti-war credibility but her weird obsession with bioweapon labs in Ukraine will come forward if there is FBI vetting of her past and she has to testify at a Senate hearing. On the other hand there is little that is not known about RFK Jr. He could even get a few Democratic votes for his confirmation.
It would be a little disingenuous to ignore the "late counting" in ALL FOUR of those states. Isn't it amazing that late counting 100% of the time tends to favor Democrats? I have in 40 years of observing politics never one time seen "late counted ballots" install a Republican. On top of that, it would be misleading to ignore the Kari Lake race, where she was outspent massively. I live here and for two months it was non-stop Gallego ads, not just one an hour, but three to four an hour. The GOP RINOs absolutely refused to fund either her or Sam Brown, yet spend lots of money (I.e., burned up lots of money) in Maryland with Larry Hogan, who never had a chance. A well-directed GOP senate reelection committee combined with an end to vote counting on election night would see a GOP 67 seat senate in a few years. This cannot go on. Votes must ben counted in 1 day. Period. We cannot constantly be the laughing stock of the world, when entire countries such as France, India and Brazil count votes of millions more people in a single day. This is a threat to democracy every big as the ChiComs.
The RINOs did spend money on Sam Brown. Not sure how much compared to the sure loser of Hogan (and his loss was the good news). They did the same thing in 2022 where they dumped boatloads of money on Murkowski who wasn't even a Republican and ignored a number of winnable races.
Recount Michigan and Nevada. Both are close enough for a recount.
Why do you mention Gabbard and Kennedy in the first paragraph without mentioning that both of them used to be democrats and a year ago, wanted to be democrats? Questioning the beneficience of big Pharma ( like RFK Jr does) USED to be a democrat friendly position. Democrats were sceptical of big corporations ! Questioning the wisdom of the military industrial complex and the forever wars, as Tulsi does, USED to be a democrat position. Democrats USED to hate the Cheneys! What happened?
You can blame almost all of this on Russiagate. If you recall, Crimea was annexed in 2014 and Barack Obama wrote a piece in the Atlantic explaining why the US would not get involved. Not a single brunch liberal with a Ukraine flag currently in their bio noticed or even cared.
If your analysis isn't any better than the one you did for Nevada, you are going to continue to lose. Of those 4 counties, two have about 5000 total population, one has about 2000 and one less than 1000. Nothing that happened there could have had any impact on the election unless it is a lot closer than it was.
I can tell you why I undervoted. Sam Brown took money from Mitch McConnell's PAC. Not even Trump's endorsement could overcome that. This makes four elections in a row where I refused to vote for the Senate candidate for that reason. I am not sure if there is anyone else but if they want my vote, they need some Turtle-be-gone.
Interesting observation. Much the same happened in PA in 2020, when Biden narrowly carried the state, but the GOP won two other statewide offices (and they were handily reelected earlier this month) and almost knocked off then-AG Josh Shapiro. There were lots of undervotes, a problem that both parties can experience, especially in presidential years, probably with low-propensity voters.
The "undervoters" for Trump are unlikely to show up in the 2026, particularly if the economy is not in good shape. Another factor that deserves more analysis are the crunchy Kennedy-Gabbard voters. How big is this sliver of voters? Gabbard has some anti-war credibility but her weird obsession with bioweapon labs in Ukraine will come forward if there is FBI vetting of her past and she has to testify at a Senate hearing. On the other hand there is little that is not known about RFK Jr. He could even get a few Democratic votes for his confirmation.